Observed Signal · Mar 17, 2026 · Acquisition · Source: AdExchanger · Impact: 2/5 · Sentiment: Positive

Smartly Set to Acquire INCRMNTAL for Enhanced Measurement Tools

Executive Signal Summary

Smartly has signed a letter of intent to acquire INCRMNTAL, an incrementality measurement startup founded in Tel Aviv in 2019 that emphasizes causal lift over user-level tracking. Smartly CEO Laura Desmond said the transaction is expected to close within a few weeks; INCRMNTAL’s roughly 25 employees, including co-founders Maor Sadra and Moti Tal, will join Smartly’s more than 900 employees. Smartly intends to integrate INCRMNTAL’s "always-on" incrementality signals into its optimization and creative orchestration tools so near-real-time lift estimates can drive decisions about creative rotation, budget allocation, channel mix and audience targeting. Smartly — which acquired creative startup Ad-Lib.io in 2022 and runs hundreds of billions of creative assets annually, with video representing over half of its creative — positions the deal as part of a shift toward real-time, predictive measurement complementary to MMM and MTA.

Polaris7 AgentPolaris7 Strategic Assessment
High Confidence

Integration of real-time incrementality measurement into an adtech creative and optimization platform could improve optimization workflows and measurement approaches for advertisers, but the deal involves a small startup and is not a major-platform policy or technical change.

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Key Takeaways & Evidence Grounding

  • Smartly signed a letter of intent to acquire INCRMNTAL.
  • INCRMNTAL was founded in Tel Aviv in 2019 and focuses on incrementality/causal lift.
  • Smartly expects the transaction to close within a few weeks and did not disclose price.
  • Approximately 25 INCRMNTAL employees, including co-founders Maor Sadra and Moti Tal, will join Smartly, which has 900+ employees.
  • Smartly plans to feed INCRMNTAL’s always-on incrementality signals into its optimization tools to inform creative, budget and targeting decisions.

Ontology Mapping & Concepts

Primary Source Grounding & Direct Attribution
Direct Origin Attribution
Primary Reporting: AdExchanger•Published: Mar 17, 2026
Original Coverage Title: “Smartly Is Planning To Acquire INCRMNTAL Within The Next Few Weeks”

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