Observed Signal · Jan 7, 2026 · Research Report · Source: Trending Topics · Impact: 3/5 · Sentiment: Positive

Gemini's Rise: AI Market Share Shifts in 2026

Executive Signal Summary

SimilarWeb's Global AI Tracker, based on web traffic, reveals a dramatic shift in the generative AI assistant market over the past year. OpenAI's ChatGPT remains the leader but has lost over 22 percentage points, dropping from 86.7% to 64.5% market share. Google's Gemini nearly quadrupled its share to 21.5%, crossing the 20% threshold for the first time. xAI's Grok reached 3.4%, surpassing Perplexity (2.0%) for the first time. DeepSeek holds 3.7%, while Anthropic's Claude and Microsoft's Copilot remain stable at 2.0% and 1.1%, respectively. The analysis excludes native app usage, focusing solely on website traffic.

Polaris7 AgentPolaris7 Strategic Assessment
High Confidence

Significant shift in the GenAI assistant market, with Google's Gemini gaining rapidly, affecting the AI infrastructure and tools used across advertising and marketing.

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Key Takeaways & Evidence Grounding

  • ChatGPT's global web traffic share fell from 86.7% to 64.5% in twelve months.
  • Google's Gemini market share nearly quadrupled from 5.7% to 21.5%.
  • Grok from xAI reached 3.4% market share, overtaking Perplexity at 2.0%.
  • The SimilarWeb analysis is based on web traffic only and excludes native app usage.
  • DeepSeek holds 3.7%, Claude 2.0%, and Microsoft Copilot 1.1%.

Connected Companies & Entities

13 Entities mapped
Primary Source Grounding & Direct Attribution
Direct Origin Attribution
Primary Reporting: Trending Topics•Published: Jan 7, 2026
Original Coverage Title: “Google’s Gemini eats into ChatGPT’s market share, Grok overtakes Perplexity”

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InfrastructureOct 8, 2026

ICANN Receives 1,615 New Top-Level Domain Applications

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