Observed Signal · Sep 30, 2026 · Market Signal · Source: Forrester · Impact: 4/5
Forrester’s 2027 European Predictions: Despite A Strong Desire To Regain Its Digital Sovereignty, Europe Will Selectively Reset, Not Sever, Key Technology Relationships
New AI sovereignty and platform governance rules will signal strategic intent but deliver limited near-term impact According to Forrester’s (Nasdaq: FORR) 2027 European predictions, unveiled today at Forrester’s Technology & Innovation Forum EMEA, Europe will enter 2027 determined to recover its digital autonomy, but the gap between its ambition and control will widen.
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Connected Companies & Entities
1 Entity mappedRelated Market Signals & Shifts
Recent verified developments and strategic activity across this market segment.
Europe 2031 scenario warns EU could lose tech sovereignty
A Brussels think‑tank published a speculative scenario titled "Europe 2031" that envisions a steep European economic and technological decline by 2031, with the US and China dominating global AI, automotive and robotics industries. The scenario uses recent events (e.g., the release of the Chinese model Deepseek R1 and limitations on access to US models) as its starting point and warns that Europe could be reduced to a single strategic company (ASML), vulnerable to acquisition pressure. The authors urge large-scale mobilisation of capital for European AI infrastructure, regulatory adjustments (e.g., easing permitting and labour rules) and major investments in robotics and "Physical AI" to avoid the projected outcome. The article was published on 2026-06-28.
OpenAI strengthens AI governance for Europe
OpenAI outlines measures to align its safety, security, transparency, and provenance practices with the EU AI Act and related Codes of Practice. The company highlights governance tools (system cards, Model Spec, Red Teaming Network), updated internal frameworks (Preparedness Framework updated 2025, Frontier Governance Framework), provenance efforts using C2PA and SynthID (expanding to audio and planning for text), and cybersecurity collaborations including a Trusted Access for Cyber program and an OpenAI EU Cyber Action Plan launched in early May 2026. OpenAI says it will continue updating resources and working with regulators, external experts, and partners as EU implementation proceeds.
Europe Must Catch Up in AI, Semiconductors, and Data Centers
A study by Roland Berger, 'The 2040 Technology Game Plan', identifies 30 technology trends that could grow from a €2.5 trillion market today to over €20 trillion by 2040. Of these, 14 fields are highlighted, with AI systems, semiconductors, and data centers accounting for over half of the projected €16 trillion market. The study argues that Europe's main weakness is not research but scaling, speed, and capital strength. It recommends that Europe focus on vertical AI applications, leverage strengths like ASML's EUV lithography, and adopt three strategies: 'Europe for global', 'Europe for Europe', and 'Foreign player localized in Europe'. The study calls for larger continental technology programs, regulatory sandboxes, and a shift in corporate innovation management.
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