IPA vs Thinkbox

UK Marketing Budgets Rise Across All Categories in Q3

The IPA Bellwether Report for Q3 2026 indicates a broad recovery in UK marketing budgets, with a net balance of +14.3% of marketers increasing spend—the highest in nine quarters and the third consecutive quarterly growth. All main media subcategories saw upward revisions for the first time, including main media (+9.8%) and 'other online' (+17.2%). PR (+15.3%) and events (+15.1%) led growth, followed by sales promotions (+13.1%). Despite this, industry and company-level financial confidence remain negative, though improved from Q2. S&P Global raised UK GDP growth forecasts for 2026 to 1.2%, supported by events like the FIFA World Cup, but risks from geopolitical tensions and high fuel prices persist. Ad spend forecasts were revised up for 2026 to 2.8% but down for 2027 to 1.3%. Industry experts offer mixed reactions, highlighting opportunities in creator marketing, out-of-home, audio, and video, while cautioning about walled gardens and the need for data quality and attention measurement as AI becomes more prevalent.

• Net balance of +14.3% of UK marketers increased budgets in Q3 2026, marking the third consecutive quarterly growth and the strongest since Q2 2024.
• All main media subcategories saw upward revisions for the first time; main media budgets rose by +9.8%, with online, video, and OOH leading.
• PR budgets experienced the highest increase at +15.3%, continuing 13 consecutive quarters of growth, followed by events (+15.1%) and sales promotions (+13.1%).

AMV BBDO & Spark Foundry win 2026 IPA Effectiveness Awards Grand Prix

The campaign transformed Currys from a retailer threatened by online shopping into the UK's most-preferred technology retailer, generating £500m in incremental revenue and returning the business to...

Global Brands Ditch Labour-Based Agency Fees, WFA Finds

A new report from the World Federation of Advertisers (WFA) and Agency Mania Solutions, titled 'How Brands Define, Scope and Reward Agency Work', reveals a significant shift in agency compensation models. Based on responses from 69 multinational companies with a combined marketing spend of $147 billion, the report finds that labour-based payment models, which were dominant in 2011, now represent the main compensation model for only 19% of global brands. Meanwhile, fixed-fee/output models have risen to 33%, and 'Labour + Performance' models to 21%. Performance-based fees show the strongest momentum, with 63% of multinationals expecting to increase their use, driven by AI, which is compressing labour hours. However, only 20% have evolved their commercial models in response to AI, though 61% intend to. The report also notes a shift in focus towards factors like briefing quality and trust over financial incentives.

• Labour-based payment models now represent the main agency compensation model for only 19% of global brands, down from dominance in 2011.
• Fixed-fee/output models have risen from 20% to 33% over 15 years.
• 71% of respondents were in global marketing procurement roles.

Ad Awareness Regains Place in Effectiveness Planning

A new study by Thinkbox, Ebiquity, WPP Media, and Gain Theory, presented at the IPA Effectiveness Conference, analyzes 1,478 brands and 328,000 observations to argue that ad awareness is a valuable lead indicator in advertising effectiveness, not just an obsolete metric. The research finds that ad awareness accounts for 17% of brand consideration, of which only 6% is direct, while 11% works indirectly by improving brand perceptions. It also reports category-specific impacts, such as 69% in QSR delivery and 62% in lotteries. The author, Andrew Tindall, recommends that marketers reinstate ad awareness as a KPI, balancing it with attention and emotion in effectiveness planning.

• Study covers 1,478 brands across 128 sectors and 328,000 observations per model.
• Ad awareness accounts for 17% of brand consideration, with 11% indirect effect.
• Thinkbox, Ebiquity, WPP Media, and Gain Theory authored the research.